Trump’s Energy War Pushes Cuba to Collapse

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Steven Højlund

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Trump’s Energy War Pushes Cuba to Collapse

Cuba faces a severe energy crisis after US President Donald Trump imposed new sanctions targeting oil supplies in January 2026, cutting access to fuel from key suppliers including Venezuela and threatening Mexican shipments. The island nation of 11 million people now experiences rolling blackouts and fuel shortages affecting hospitals, water supply, and basic services, while Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel condemns the measures as economic warfare and vows to resist US pressure.

Escalating US Pressure on Cuba

The United States intensified its decades-long economic blockade against Cuba in early 2026 with measures specifically designed to strangle the island’s energy supply. President Trump declared Cuba an extraordinary threat to US national security, a designation that allows Washington to impose sweeping economic sanctions traditionally reserved for declared enemies.

Oil Embargo Takes Effect

The new sanctions focus directly on petroleum. The US government threatened tariffs and penalties against any country that sells or transports oil to Cuba. This aggressive policy aims to force nations worldwide to halt all essential trade with the Caribbean nation.

These measures build on a blockade that began in the 1960s, immediately following the Cuban revolution in 1959. However, the restrictions have grown sharper through the years. Unlike United Nations Security Council sanctions, which require international authorization under strict conditions, the US operates a unilateral blockade without global legal backing.

Venezuela Connection Severed

The crisis deepened dramatically on January 3, 2026, when US forces intervened in Venezuela. American officials kidnapped President Nicolás Maduro and National Assembly Vice President Cillia Flores. As 150 US military aircraft circled Caracas, Washington delivered an ultimatum to the remaining Venezuelan government.

The US threatened to devastate central Caracas unless Venezuelan authorities accepted a list of demands. With no bargaining power, the Venezuelan government agreed. One critical requirement was ending all oil exports to Cuba. In 2025, Venezuela had supplied approximately 34 percent of Cuba’s total oil needs. The sudden loss of Venezuelan petroleum created an immediate and severe problem for Cuban energy planners.

Pressure on Mexico Intensifies

Mexico provided 44 percent of Cuba’s imported crude oil in 2025. Washington now applies heavy pressure on Mexico City to stop these shipments. If both Venezuelan and Mexican oil disappeared, Cuba would lose nearly 80 percent of its imported petroleum.

President Trump claimed in a phone conversation that he requested Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum to halt oil sales to Cuba. Sheinbaum denied this account, stating the two leaders only discussed US-Mexico relations generally. Nevertheless, the pressure on Mexico remains substantial. Sheinbaum emphasized that Mexico must make sovereign decisions and that the Mexican people will not yield to US demands. Cutting off Cuba from fuel would trigger a humanitarian disaster, she warned, making her government unwilling to comply with Trump’s requirements.

Humanitarian Impact and International Response

The fuel shortage has created immediate suffering for ordinary Cubans. The blockade’s human cost extends far beyond economic statistics into daily survival.

Daily Life Under Energy Rationing

Rolling power outages now affect communities across the island. Hospitals struggle to maintain operations without reliable electricity. Water pumping stations cannot function consistently. Transportation systems face severe fuel rationing. Commercial airlines including Air Canada have suspended flights to Havana due to aviation fuel shortages.

The United Nations warned that the US pressure campaign threatens Cuba’s food and water supplies, hospitals, schools, and basic services. UN officials, including the Special Rapporteur on Human Rights in Cuba, condemned the tightened blockade as directly harming ordinary citizens. They noted that sanctions make it harder for hospitals to obtain vital medicines, for dialysis clinics to operate, and for medical equipment to reach patients. This worsens the health crisis across the island.

UN Condemnation of US Actions

The Special Rapporteur described the policy as punitive and disproportionate. The sanctions violate international law and exacerbate Cuba’s socioeconomic problems, according to UN assessments. International legal experts urged the US to lift sanctions and prioritize humanitarian exceptions. They stressed that dialogue and cooperation, not coercive measures, are necessary to protect Cuban lives and human rights.

A group of UN human rights experts condemned Trump’s decree as a serious breach of international law and a grave threat to a democratic and just international order. They argued the decree seeks to coerce Cuba and third countries by threatening trade sanctions. Such extraterritorial economic measures risk severe humanitarian consequences. Their statement clarified that no rights under international law permit one state to impose economic sanctions on third countries for lawful trade relations. The experts called on the Trump administration to revoke the illegal decree.

Global Voting Patterns

The UN General Assembly has voted with overwhelming majorities against the blockade every year since 1992. Typically, only the United States and Israel oppose these resolutions. This consistent pattern demonstrates near-universal international opposition to US policy toward Cuba.

Economic Toll of Six Decades

The financial damage from the US blockade reaches far beyond the current crisis. The economic warfare has lasted more than 60 years, accumulating massive losses.

Calculating the Damage

Since the blockade’s implementation in the 1960s, the US has cost Cuba 171 billion dollars. When adjusted for gold prices, that figure reaches 2.10 trillion dollars. The Cuban government estimates that between March 2024 and February 2025, the blockade caused damages worth approximately 7.5 billion dollars. This represents a 49 percent increase compared to the previous period.

Using the 171 billion dollar baseline, the Cuban people lose 20.7 million dollars every day. That translates to 862,568 dollars per hour in economic damage. These losses weigh heavily on a small country attempting to build a rational society based on socialist values.

Development Constraints

The blockade fundamentally constrains Cuba’s economic development. For a nation of 11 million people, the cumulative losses represent vast sums that could have funded healthcare, education, infrastructure, and technological advancement. Instead, resources go toward managing shortages and finding workarounds to international isolation.

The sanctions affect every sector of Cuban life. Banking restrictions complicate international transactions. Import barriers limit access to medicines, food, technology, and industrial equipment. Export restrictions prevent Cuba from selling goods in major markets. These comprehensive economic limitations create compound effects that multiply the direct financial losses.

Cuban Government Response

Cuban leadership frames the US actions as an attack on national sovereignty. The government mobilizes responses both immediate and long term while setting conditions for any dialogue with Washington.

Díaz-Canel’s Defiance

President Miguel Díaz-Canel strongly condemned the escalated US measures as economic warfare. He argues that US policy aims to undermine Cuban sovereignty. The government calls this an energy blockade and emphasizes that shortages result directly from US coercive policies.

In response, Cuban authorities implemented emergency plans. These include fuel rationing to prioritize essential services such as hospitals, water supply, and public transportation. The government issued state directives for managing reduced energy supplies. These plans include transitioning to alternative and renewable energy sources wherever possible.

Alternative Energy Development

The Chinese government donated equipment for large solar energy parks. These facilities will be built in Artemisa, Granma, Guantánamo, Holguín, Las Tunas, and Pinar del Río provinces. This represents immediate assistance to address power generation gaps.

Long term planning includes Chinese help building 92 solar parks. These projects will add 2,000 megawatts of solar energy capacity to Cuba’s grid. To assist households in remote areas, China’s government sent 5,000 rooftop solar systems. Meanwhile, fuel shipments from Mexico, Russia, and other countries are now reaching Cuba. Trump’s isolation policy has not achieved complete success.

Conditions for Dialogue

The Cuban government states it maintains contact with Washington but no direct high level negotiations have occurred. President Díaz-Canel said his government will talk with the US, but only under three essential conditions.

First, dialogue must be respectful, serious, and without pressure or preconditions. Second, talks must respect Cuban sovereignty, independence, and political system. Finally, Cuba will not negotiate its constitution, revised in 2019, or Cuba’s commitment to socialism. If the US insists on discussing any of these three topics, no dialogue will occur.

The Cuban revolution’s defiance on these questions has roots in its history. The revolution itself was an act of defiance against US demands for control over the Western Hemisphere through the Monroe Doctrine from 1823, now renewed by Trump in 2025. This defiance has proven contagious, creating Latin American resistance to US imperialism from the 1960s to today, including in the heart of the Bolivarian process in Venezuela.

Regional Political Transformation

The pressure on Cuba occurs within a broader and rapid transformation across Latin America. Political currents throughout the hemisphere threaten progressive movements and sovereignty claims.

Rise of the Far Right

Latin America experiences a dangerous shift. Country after country, from Argentina to El Salvador, has elected far right political parties of a particular type. These leaders commit to strong conservative social values rooted in growing reactionary evangelical Christianity across the Americas. They launch ruthless attacks on the poor through wars on crime shaped by theories calling for arrest and imprisonment of all potential criminals. This policy was pioneered by El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele.

These governments make a sharp turn toward Western civilization. This includes orientation toward the United States and against China. The attitude swings between celebration of Western culture and hatred of communism. The emergence of this particular form of far right extremism appears poised to shape an entire generation if it can remove the left from power in Colombia, Cuba, Mexico, Nicaragua, and Venezuela. In Brazil, this far right faction already controls the legislature.

Parallel Attacks on Progressive Governments

The simultaneous assaults on Venezuela and Cuba form part of the US contribution to this rising angry wave across the American continents. Trump and his associates want to install their type of leaders, such as Javier Milei, throughout the Americas. This revives debates about sovereignty across the region.

When Puerto Rican rapper Bad Bunny concluded his Super Bowl performance in the US with a tribute to all American countries, naming them individually, this gesture itself became part of the struggle over sovereignty. The symbolic recognition of independent nations pushed back against US hemispheric dominance.

Sovereignty as Central Issue

The battles over Cuba and Venezuela represent frontlines in the fight for genuine sovereignty across the American continents. They also embody the struggle for the idea of socialism worldwide. Support for Cuba means support for the Cuban people, the Cuban revolution, real sovereignty throughout the Americas, and socialist alternatives globally.

This represents the current frontline in the fight against imperialism. The outcome will shape whether nations can choose their own paths or must submit to US economic and political control. The Cuban revolution’s continued resistance, despite enormous pressure, provides an example for other nations facing similar coercion.

Sources and References

Arbejderen: Den cubanske revolution holder stand mod USA’s imperialisme

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Steven Højlund

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