Danish Land Sinking Faster Than Previously Expected

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Frederikke Høye

Danish Land Sinking Faster Than Previously Expected

New geological data shows that the southern tip of Denmark is sinking faster than previously believed, as sensors detect subtle but steady land subsidence near Gedser on the island of Falster.

Southern Falster Is Gradually Sinking

Denmark might seem like a stable country, but beneath the surface the ground is slowly shifting. While it has long been known that northern parts of the country are rising and the southern parts are sinking, a process still continuing since the last Ice Age, recent data reveals unexpected patterns near Denmark’s southernmost point: Gedser on the island of Falster.

A new nationwide project by the Danish Agency for Climate Data has placed monitoring stations across the country to track geological movement. These stations detect vertical movements of the earth’s surface, and the goal is to enhance future infrastructure resilience in the face of climate change.

At least one location is raising eyebrows among scientists. A monitoring station near Gedser Harbor has detected a measurable and unexpected rate of subsidence. Over the past 20 years, the land in this area has sunk nearly 1.5 centimeters, almost double the rate previously expected.

Tracking Movements with New Data Points

To collect more precise information, the Climate Data Agency has expanded its network to include 15 GNSS stations across Denmark. GNSS – Global Navigation Satellite Systems – work similarly to GPS and allow scientists to track even the tiniest shifts in land elevation. Along with the high-tech sensors, 120 steel reference rods have been placed deep into the ground to act as fixed points for long-term monitoring.

One of those rods now sits on sacred ground: the cemetery at Gedesby Church, just a few miles from the town of Gedser. The location was chosen not for reasons of symbolism but because the church grounds are geologically stable, making it ideal for anchoring the metal rod that will serve as a long-lasting benchmark.

The Unstable Outlier at Gedser Harbor

In contrast to the stability recorded at Gedesby Church, the monitoring station at Gedser Harbor has proven to be the system’s main anomaly. Installed in a brown shed-like structure close to the Baltic Sea, this particular station has revealed that the land in Gedser is sinking more rapidly than at any of the other 14 stations around Denmark.

This subtle vertical movement matters. Over the same 20-year period that the land subsided by 1.5 centimeters in Gedser, sea levels in the immediate area have risen by 6 centimeters. Combined, this results in a relative sea-level rise of 7.5 centimeters in just two decades, a trend that could intensify with climate change.

Implications for Construction and Infrastructure

Although the sinking rate may only be a fraction of a millimeter per year, it holds important consequences for engineers and urban planners. If such ground motion goes unaccounted for, it could affect the integrity of essential infrastructure. For example, in the town of Thyborøn on Denmark’s west coast, underground shifting has led to cracked sewer systems.

The director of the Climate Data Agency underlines that combining data on land movement and sea-level rise is crucial to climate adaptation planning. Every serious climate protection project – like sea walls or flood defenses – begins with a so-called “zero-point measurement,” an initial baseline of elevation. If planners fail to recognize that the ground itself is gradually lowering, they might underestimate future flood risks.

Not an Immediate Threat, Yet

Despite the new figures, experts reassure local residents that there is no urgent danger. Even with a few millimeters of sinking each year, it would still take several hundred years for the land movement and rising sea levels to create a serious risk of permanent flooding in South Falster.

According to geologists, while the situation is unusual and worth monitoring, it’s not cause for alarm. Currently, the rates of change are low, and immediate actions are not necessary. However, continued surveillance of these shifts is essential for long-term safety and efficient infrastructure investment.

As Denmark adapts to a changing climate, understanding subtle transformations in the landscape, like those occurring quietly in Gedser, will help ensure smarter, safer planning for generations to come.

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Frederikke Høye

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