A new political poll gives Denmark’s right-wing parties a majority for the first time in more than three years, reigniting hopes for a change of government. Yet the liberal party Venstre remains vague about whether it will fully embrace a blue government alliance.
Right-Wing Parties Regain Momentum
Denmark’s right-leaning political bloc is showing new signs of strength. A fresh Epinion poll for DR and Altinget indicates that Venstre, the Conservatives, Liberal Alliance, the Denmark Democrats, and the Danish People’s Party now hold a combined 94 mandates in parliament. This gives the blue bloc a narrow majority and brings the prospect of a future conservative-led government closer than it has been since 2022.
Liberal Alliance interprets the result as evidence that their message is gaining ground. The party says the opposition has been working hard to present a clear alternative to the current coalition. In contrast, the Danish People’s Party calls the result a signal that voters are ready for change.
Venstre, the largest center-right party and currently part of the tri-party coalition with the Social Democrats and Moderates, recorded its strongest polling performance since joining the government. The poll shows Venstre rising to 11.5 percent support, up from earlier months.
Venstre’s Position Creates Uncertainty
Even with growing support, Venstre’s leadership has refused to clarify what coalition the party prefers after the next election. Party leader Troels Lund Poulsen recently said he “hopes for a blue government,” but stopped short of confirming if he would lead such a coalition or continue governing under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s centrist setup. Poulsen also declined to declare himself a candidate for prime minister, noting that Venstre first needs broader backing before such a step would make sense.
This uncertainty has left the rest of the blue alliance waiting. Both the Danish People’s Party and the Conservatives have already named Poulsen as their preferred prime minister, but Liberal Alliance and the Denmark Democrats have not yet announced their choice.
At the same time, growing support among the right-wing parties has fueled discussions about Denmark’s defense strategy and what kind of leadership would be most effective in handling national and foreign policy challenges.
Challenges for Moderates and the Left
Surprisingly, the new poll shows that the centrist Moderates party, led by former Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen, might not even reach parliament if an election were held today. The party received only 1.8 percent support, just below the 2 percent threshold required to win seats. Given the margin of error of plus or minus 0.7 percentage points, that result remains uncertain but still alarming for the Moderates.
Meanwhile, the governing SVM coalition—composed of the Social Democrats, Venstre, and Moderates—would secure 53 mandates in total. The left-wing and centrist opposition, including the Social Democrats’ traditional allies the Socialist People’s Party (SF), Red-Green Alliance (Enhedslisten), the Social Liberals (Radikale Venstre), and the Alternative (Alternativet), would collectively hold 81 mandates according to the same poll.
Background and Polling Details
It has been more than three years since the blue bloc last held a parliamentary majority. Back in August 2022, the right also briefly overtook the left before the formation of Denmark’s current coalition government. The latest measurements suggest a renewed political shift that could reshape the balance before the next national election, which must be held by November next year.
The Epinion survey was conducted for DR and Altinget between November 19 and 25, 2025. A total of 2,034 Danish residents aged 18 or above participated through phone and online interviews, with 1,716 respondents sharing their voting preferences. The poll has a maximum statistical uncertainty of 2.6 percentage points.
Because of that, political analysts caution against reading too much into small swings, yet the numbers clearly reflect growing enthusiasm in the blue bloc and waning confidence in the centrist government. Whether it will lead to an actual change of government depends on Venstre’s willingness to commit fully to the conservative side.
Looking Ahead
If these results hold, Denmark could face one of the most competitive elections in recent memory. The key question remains whether Venstre will align itself with its traditional allies or maintain its cooperation with the Social Democrats. That decision will shape the future direction of Denmark’s government, its economic agenda, and its approach to critical national priorities such as its defense strategy, immigration policy, and relations within the European Union.
In the end, even though the right-wing parties have momentum, their path to power still depends on whether Venstre chooses to turn fully blue or stay in the middle.
Sources and References
The Danish Dream: The real reason Denmark needs stronger defence strategy now
The Danish Dream: Best lawyer in Denmark for foreigners
DR: Blå begejstring over flertal i ny måling
